Global Risks as identified by the WEF and IMF
Recently, the World Economic Forum (WEF) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have released statements about risks to the global community. Here, you can evaluate the impact of two of indicated risks (below*) on a country of your choice and identify key points of vulnerability to instability. As you proceed give some thought as to how the instabilities you select could be related; this will help enrichen your narrative and allow you to choose your data series wisely.

Please complete all components.

1. Select a country of your choice and very briefly describe the presence of two Global Risks (from the list below). Discuss how those two risks may raise the likelihood of an event associated with two of the following (your choice): a currency crisis, banking crisis, a sovereign debt crisis, and/or a speculative bubble.
2. Identify and justify four indicators (data series) to monitor for these types of crises/instability. NOTE! These indicators are of your own choosing (not necessarily from the list below). Graph and note the movements of the series. (Consider a 20-25 year time horizon.)
3. Refine your analysis of the indicators by applying two quantitative methods of your choice. Check whether there is evidence that there is correlation between the time series you selected. Could the correlation between strong enough to warrant a check for causality?
4. Critically evaluate the results found in section 3. (What went well, and what could be better.)

*10 Global Risks as identified by the WEF and IMF:
Cost of living crisis
Economic slowdown
Natural disasters and extreme weather events
Geoeconomic confrontation
Erosion of social cohesion and societal polarization
Large scale involuntary migration
State collapse or severe instability
Widespread cybercrime and cyber insecurity